"It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Step 3. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Based on the data from the CDC . (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Those who are brave (foolish?) dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Is that an African fly or a European one? And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Are they gross exaggerations? You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Now things start getting interesting. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Hello there! Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. But Im not mathy. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? Dr. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Step 2. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. On one try. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. saving. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Yet here we are. Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Your email address will not be published. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Wowser. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Which ones bigger? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? They agree to within a factor of two! Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. xx, Lets be social! And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. June 5. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation."