J.D. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History | Stadium Talk The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. David Montgomery Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections The 100 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - Bleacher Report Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. 1. Why Bo Jackson is the Most Overrated Player of All Time Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. World's top 10 most overrated football players in history Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time - msn.com Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. J.D. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Wait until next year. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. 54 touchdowns. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. With the second-year back getting selected in the early second round of most drafts, fantasy managers must be expecting that trend to continue in 2021. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. We've seen J.D. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Overall: 98 and 96. most overrated running backs of all time - cldaniels.com The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Gary Davenport: Drafting an RB1 based on wishful thinking isn't an ideal strategy, yet Williams keeps getting picked inside the top-12 at his position. McKissic. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Single Single A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. 3) Micah Richards. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOOTBALL RBs | 2022 Fantasy Football Advice His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. most overrated running backs of all time. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed.